Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.421788 0.486470 0.556795 0.638808 0.731695 0.833497 0.953385
2025-09-21 0.302138 0.388063 0.490721 0.621811 0.784108 0.977744 1.225509
2025-09-28 0.235429 0.327862 0.446323 0.608011 0.821493 1.092071 1.459072
2025-10-05 0.200645 0.298578 0.431468 0.622832 0.888759 1.242223 1.743924
2025-10-12 0.179947 0.283547 0.431179 0.653669 0.976451 1.422833 2.080681
2025-10-19 0.159667 0.265205 0.422499 0.669551 1.042137 1.575981 2.389418
2025-10-26 0.140989 0.246064 0.409366 0.675873 1.092395 1.708826 2.677002
2025-11-02 0.123904 0.226697 0.392926 0.674179 1.128661 1.821812 2.941402
2025-11-09 0.108113 0.207058 0.373313 0.664499 1.150200 1.912334 3.176198
2025-11-16 0.094860 0.189846 0.355408 0.655068 1.170120 2.000201 3.411069
2025-11-23 0.081698 0.170863 0.332056 0.633453 1.166999 2.049662 3.586318
2025-11-30 0.078302 0.169786 0.340182 0.667320 1.260408 2.262421 4.040697
2025-12-07 0.068186 0.154355 0.320631 0.649970 1.263983 2.327135 4.256544
2025-12-14 0.059359 0.140283 0.302035 0.632444 1.265631 2.388636 4.471520
2025-12-21 0.052113 0.128431 0.286271 0.618409 1.271907 2.457785 4.703222
2025-12-28 0.048611 0.124269 0.285453 0.633459 1.333879 2.630089 5.128132
2026-01-04 0.046895 0.123915 0.292442 0.664775 1.429470 2.869516 5.688472
2026-01-11 0.044002 0.120365 0.292167 0.680902 1.496131 3.059118 6.168166
2026-01-18 0.040627 0.115134 0.287578 0.687321 1.543493 3.214841 6.593284
2026-01-25 0.037021 0.108766 0.279658 0.685602 1.573669 3.338868 6.964712
2026-02-01 0.033268 0.101427 0.268618 0.675772 1.585815 3.427970 7.273467
2026-02-08 0.029939 0.094689 0.258190 0.666195 1.597480 3.516390 7.585380
2026-02-15 0.026295 0.086466 0.243131 0.644245 1.580139 3.544580 7.778548